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- HP Announces Low-Priced Workstation & Printer
-
- Confidential / Apple Product Marketing
- Written by: David Garr and Michael Mace, with help from Frank Casanova
- Contact: David Garr, Competitive Analysis, GARR1
-
-
- Last week, HP announced, among other things, a $3,990 workstation and a $1,495
- laser printer. This link looks first at the workstation and then at the laser
- printer, and discusses the products' features and their implications for Apple.
-
-
- HP'S $3,990 WORKSTATION
-
- _______
- SUMMARY
-
- Last week HP introduced three Apollo workstation products. Probably the most
- significant to Apple is the Apollo 2500, a low-priced 68030-based workstation.
- The base price for a diskless 2500 with a monochrome monitor is $3,990.
-
- This is a workstation, not a PC. HP does not yet have a compelling business
- software offering for the 2500 (nor the other, more expensive, Apollo
- workstations). It is a UNIX system with a limited graphical user interface and
- little productivity software. Because of its software limitations, this
- machine does not pose much of a sales threat to Macintosh in the short run.
- However, we think it poses stiff competition to Sun and DEC at the low-end of
- the workstation market. In the long run, as the Open Software Foundation
- version of UNIX becomes available, and as Apple introduces higher-end systems
- and new versions of A/UX, we think Apple will compete more directly with
- machines like the 2500.
-
- __________________
- FEATURES
-
- Apollo Series 2500. 20-MHz 68030, 20-MHz 68882, 4 MIPS claimed
- Default configuration: Diskless, 15" Monochrome, 4MB. $3,990
- Available 4Q89
-
- HP also announced the Series 3500 and 4500 which are Apollo graphics
- workstations. HP calls these desktop visualization systems.
-
- Apollo Series 3500. 25-MHz 68030, 5 MIPS claimed
- Pricing starts at $19,495
- Available 4Q89
-
- Apollo Series 4500. 33-MHz 68030, 8 MIPS claimed
- Default configuration: 348MB, 19" Color, 8MB. $30,990
- Available 4Q89
-
- ________
- ANALYSIS
-
- The Apollo 2500 is now the lowest priced workstation, and it further blurs the
- distinction between personal computers and workstations. The clearest
- differentiator between them now seems to be software. Personal computers
- support a large variety of general productivity software, whereas workstations
- run UNIX and support many engineering/scientific applications.
-
- Throughout its announcement, HP reiterated that the price of the 2500 is
- two-thirds the list price of a similarly configured Sun 3/80 workstation and
- nearly half the price of the DEC VAXstation 3100. Here are some comparative
- specifications:
-
- MIPS RAM Disk Price
- claimed monochrome
- --------------------------------------------
- HP Apollo 2500 4 4MB none $3,990 (Mono 15")
- DEC VAXstation 3100 3 8MB none $6,950 (Mono 15")
- DECstation 2100 10.4 8MB none $7,950 (Mono 15")
- Sun 3/80 3 4MB none $5,995 (Mono 17")
- Sun SPARCstation 1 12.5 8MB none $8,995 (Mono 17")
-
- HP claims that the Apollo 2500 can run more than 2500 software applications,
- which HP believes is the broadest library of software offerings in the
- workstation industry. In the long run, the workstation company with better
- software support will have an advantage, but it's too early to declare a
- winner. Both HP and DEC are major participants in the Open Software
- Foundation, which most analysts believe is building momentum faster than Sun's
- Open Look environment.
-
- (OSF is an alliance of major workstation vendors opposed to AT&T and Sun. OSF
- is developing its own version of UNIX, named OSF1 in its first release, which
- incorporates a graphical interface called Motif. We assume that HP will
- eventually offer OSF1 as an option for its Apollo and HP workstations.)
-
- HP offers two families of UNIX workstations: the Apollo workstations and the
- HP 9000 workstations. The versions of UNIX on these workstations are not fully
- compatible; the Apollo workstations run Domain/OS, while the HP 9000
- workstations run HP-UX. It is not clear if or how HP will merge these two
- product families over the long run. We wonder if promoting two environments
- (and perhaps a third, with OSF1) will limit how successful HP can be with
- either of its families.
-
- ______________________
- IMPLICATIONS FOR APPLE
-
-
- Price Comparisons Misleading.
-
- The price of the Apollo 2500 is lower than a similarly configured Macintosh
- IIcx. A monochrome IIcx with 1MB of RAM is priced at $5,396; about $1,400 more
- than the 2500. However, these are list prices. For low quantities, a retailer
- probably gives a higher discount for the Macintosh than HP gives for the 2500.
- Furthermore, the 2500 has a number of weaknesses when compared with the IIcx,
- such as:
-
- * 1 bit/pixel monochrome (color not supported).
- * Few productivity applications available.
- * Applications lack consistency.
- * Awkward user interface.
- * No floppy disk.
- * Only available through direct sales.
- * Limited expansion. It has one AT-bus slot, which is taken up by the
- networking card. So, for example, it cannot support a second monitor.
-
- Someone comparing the 2500 with a Macintosh should determine what they can
- accomplish with the whole system, and not just look at price and processor.
-
-
- Not a big threat in short run.
-
- We don't think HP's low-end workstation poses a huge threat in the short run.
- Unix has not yet achieved significant penetration in Apple's core markets.
- There is a potential for competition to develop in the long run, as
- workstations get more productivity software and better user interfaces, and as
- their prices decrease. For the moment, Sun, DEC, and HP have their hands full
- just battling one another. IBM's revitalized entry into the market, expected
- within the next several months, should increase the workstation competition
- even more.
-
-
- ===============================================================================
- HP'S NEW LASER PRINTER
-
- _______
- SUMMARY
-
- The new LaserJet IIP has a suggested retail price of $1,495 and a rated speed
- of four pages per minute (half the current LaserJet). It will probably sell
- for under a thousand dollars, making it easily the least expensive laser
- printer on the market. The new printer does not yet have PostScript, so it is
- not much of a sales threat to Apple's LaserWriter line. PostScript will be
- added in early 1990. The price for that add-on has not been announced, but
- rumors are that it will be relatively expensive.
-
- ________
- FEATURES
-
- HP LaserJet IIP (the "P" stands for "personal")
- --4 ppm maximum print speed.
- --300 dpi resolution (half page; extra RAM required for full-page 300 dpi).
- --50-sheet paper tray.
- --Weight 25 pounds.
-
- ________
- ANALYSIS
-
- This is a stripped product.
-
- HP has a history of offering a lot of add-on products for its LaserJet series,
- and the IIP carries the process to new heights. Although its under-$1,000
- street price will be very seductive, we think many customers will be
- dissatisfied with the performance of that product.
-
- In particular, we think a 50-page paper tray will soon become intensely
- annoying. A 250-sheet add-in tray costs $195 extra. Many customers will also
- probably want to add a 1 MB memory board to get full-page 300 dpi printing
- ($495), and HP's new Great Start font cartridge to get a better variety of
- fonts ($99). Add up all the extras, and the printer's suggested retail price
- grows to $2,284 (or a street price of around $1,500 to $1,600, depending on the
- discount applied to the accessories). That is still a good deal, but not as
- impressive as the price of the printer alone.
-
-
- Intensified competition for dot-matrix.
-
- HP positions the IIP as a replacement for 24-pin dot-matrix printers, and as an
- add-on product for people who currently share a LaserJet or other laser
- printer. The company already took a bite out of the dot-matrix installed base
- with its DeskJet ink-jet printers, but we think the IIP will have a bigger
- impact because of its superior speed (4 ppm vs. 1 ppm or less for the ink-jet
- product). In fact, we think the IIP may cannibalize some sales of the DeskJet,
- which carries a suggested retail price of $795 to $995, depending on
- configuration.
-
- _____________________
- IMPLICATIONS TO APPLE
-
- Very little in the near term.
-
- Because the IIP does not yet have a PostScript option, it will not have a major
- impact on sales of the LaserWriter line. We do expect third-parties to offer
- Macintosh connectivity products for the IIP, but similar products for the
- LasserJet have not been an overwhelming success.
-
- It is important to ensure that customers do not compare the price of a
- LaserWriter II NT or NTX to that of the LaserJet IIP. Although both are laser
- printers, the IIP does not have a network connector (so it will be difficult to
- share), and its standard configuration does not have enough memory to even
- print a full page at 300 dpi. The lack of PostScript means that the printer's
- graphics performance will be limited--relatively few fonts, poor management of
- scanned images, and sometimes poor-quality line drawings.
-
-
- PostScript: Future competition?
-
- HP will add a PostScript compatibility option in early 1990. The effect of
- this product on the LaserWriter line will depend on the price of the PostScript
- option. At present, it is rumored to be around $2,000--too high for the
- printer to have a huge impact on Apple's sales. In addition, the HP PostScript
- product reportedly will not have a LocalTalk connector, which would cut its
- impact to almost nothing.
-
- The IIP's biggest impact on Apple will probably be indirect. By pulling down
- laser printing prices throughout the industry, the IIP will eventually put some
- price pressure on everyone. But that is a long-term process, and Apple will
- have time to respond to the pressure if and when it develops. For the time
- being, the most important task is to continue to emphasize that all laser
- printers are not created equal.
-
-
- Other products coming.
-
- We expect additional printer announcements in the near future, including a
- rumored IBM laser printer which would print at 6 ppm and be priced at about
- $1,300. That is a surprisingly low price, and the rumor may be incorrect. But
- the competition in laser printing is clearly beginning to heat up again.
-
-
- ______________________
- If you'd like more information, please contact us at COMPETITION.
- We also welcome your comments and suggestions.
-
-
-